UMzantsi-mpuma we-Asia uzibophelele ekunyuseni ukusetyenziswa kwamandla ahlaziyekayo nge-23% ngo-2025 njengoko imfuno yamandla ikhula.Iindlela zobuchwephesha be-Geospatial ezidibanisa izibalo, imodeli yendawo, idatha yesathelayithi yokujonga umhlaba kunye nemodeli yemozulu ingasetyenziselwa ukwenza uhlalutyo lobuchule ukuqonda amandla kunye nokusebenza kophuhliso lwamandla avuselelekayo.Olu phando lujolise ekudaleni imodeli yesithuba sokuqala sohlobo lwayo kwi-Asia-mpuma ye-Asia ukwenzela ukuphuhliswa kwemithombo yamandla amaninzi ahlaziyekayo afana nelanga, umoya kunye nombane wamanzi, eziphinde zohlulwe kwiindawo zokuhlala kunye nezolimo.Ubutsha bolu phononongo buxhomekeke ekuphuhliseni imodeli entsha ephambili yophuhliso lwamandla ahlaziyekayo ngokuhlanganisa uhlalutyo lokufaneleka kwengingqi kunye novavanyo lwemithamo yamandla anokubakho.Imimandla enoqikelelo oluphezulu lwamandla anokubakho kwezi ndibaniselwano zintathu zamandla ikakhulu ibekwe kwindawo esemantla kuMzantsi-mpuma Asia.Iindawo ezikufutshane ne-ikhweyitha, ngaphandle kwemimandla esemazantsi, zinesakhono esingaphantsi kwamazwe asemantla.Ulwakhiwo lwezixhobo zamandla esola i-photovoltaic (PV) yeyona ndawo yolona hlobo lwamandla olujongwayo, ludinga i-143,901,600 yeehektare (61.71%), lulandelwa ngamandla omoya (39,618,300 ha, 16.98%), iPV yelanga edityanisiweyo namandla omoya (37,302,500 ha, 16.98%). ipesenti).) , amandla ombane (7,665,200 ha, 3.28%), umbane odityanisiweyo wamanzi kunye nelanga (3,792,500 ha, 1.62%), umbane odityanisiweyo wamanzi nomoya (582,700 ha, 0.25%).Olu pho nonongo lufike ngexesha kwaye lubalulekile njengoko luya kusebenza njengesiseko semigaqo-nkqubo kunye nezicwangciso zengingqi zokutshintshwa kwamandla avuselelekayo, ngokuqwalasela iimpawu ezahlukeneyo ezikhoyo kwi-Asia-mpuma ye-Asia.
Njengenxalenye yeNjongo yesi-7 yoPhuhliso oluZinzileyo, amazwe amaninzi avumile ukwandisa nokusasaza amandla ahlaziyekayo, kodwa ngo-20201, amandla ahlaziyekayo aya kwenza kuphela i-11% yonikezelo lwamandla ehlabathi jikelele2.Ngemfuno yamandla ehlabathi ekulindeleke ukuba ikhule nge-50% phakathi kwe-2018 kunye ne-2050, izicwangciso zokunyusa umthamo wamandla ahlaziyekayo ukuhlangabezana neemfuno zamandla ezizayo zibaluleke kakhulu kunanini ngaphambili.Ukukhula ngokukhawuleza koqoqosho kunye nabemi kuMzantsi-mpuma we-Asiya kule minyaka imbalwa idlulileyo kukhokelele ekwandeni okubukhali kwemfuno yamandla.Ngelishwa, amafutha efosili enza ngaphezu kwesiqingatha samandla akhoyo kulo mmandla3.Amazwe akumazantsi-mpuma ase-Asia athembise ukwandisa ukusetyenziswa kwamandla avuselelekayo nge-23% ngo-20254. Eli lizwe laseMzantsi-mpuma ye-Asia linokukhanya kwelanga kakhulu unyaka wonke, iziqithi ezininzi kunye neentaba, kunye namandla amakhulu okuvuselela amandla.Nangona kunjalo, eyona ngxaki iphambili ekuphuhlisweni kwamandla ahlaziyekayo kukufumana imimandla efanelekileyo kakhulu ekuphuhliseni iziseko eziyimfuneko kwimveliso yombane ezinzileyo5.Ukongeza, ukuqinisekisa ukuba amaxabiso ombane kwimimandla eyahlukeneyo ahlangabezana nenqanaba elifanelekileyo lamaxabiso ombane kufuna ukuqiniseka kulawulo, ulungelelwaniso oluzinzileyo lwezopolitiko nolawulo, ukucwangciswa ngononophelo, kunye nemida yomhlaba echazwe kakuhle.Ubuchule bemithombo yamandla ahlaziyekayo ephuhliswe kule ngingqi kumashumi eminyaka akutshanje iquka amandla elanga, umoya kunye nombane wamanzi.Le mithombo inesithembiso esikhulu sophuhliso olukhulu ukuhlangabezana neenjongo zamandla ahlaziyekayo zommandla4 nokubonelela ngamandla kwimimandla engekafikeleli kumbane6.Ngenxa yokukwazi kunye nokunciphisa uphuhliso lweziseko zamandla ezizinzileyo kwi-Asia-mpuma ye-Asia, isicwangciso siyafuneka ukuchonga iindawo ezifanelekileyo zophuhliso lwamandla oluzinzileyo kummandla, olu cwaningo lujolise ekufakeni isandla.
Uluvo olukude ludityaniswe nohlalutyo lwesithuba lusetyenziswa ngokubanzi ukuxhasa ukwenziwa kwezigqibo ekumiseleni eyona ndawo ifanelekileyo yeziseko zoncedo zamandla ahlaziyekayo7,8,9.Umzekelo, ukufumanisa eyona ndawo ilungileyo yelanga, uLopez et al.10 basebenzise iimveliso zeMODIS zokuvalela kude ukulinganisa imitha yelanga.ULetu et al.11 uqikelelo lwemitha yomphezulu welanga, amafu kunye ne-aerosols ukusuka kwimilinganiselo yesathelayithi ye-Himawari-8.Ukongezelela, i-Principe kunye ne-Takeuchi12 bavavanya amandla ombane we-photovoltaic (PV) welanga kummandla wase-Asia-Pacific ngokusekelwe kwizinto zemeteorological.Emva kokusebenzisa i-remote sensing ukumisela iindawo ezinokubakho amandla elanga, indawo enelona xabiso liphezulu lokwakha iziseko zelanga inokukhethwa.Ukongezelela, uhlalutyo lwendawo lwenziwa ngokwendlela yeendlela ezininzi ezinxulumene nendawo yeenkqubo zePV zelanga13,14,15.Kwiifama zomoya, iBlankenhorn kunye neResch16 ziqikelela indawo yamandla omoya anokubakho eJamani ngokusekwe kwimilinganiselo efana nesantya somoya, ukugquma kwezityalo, ukuthambeka, kunye nendawo yeendawo ezikhuselweyo.I-Sah kunye ne-Wijayatunga17 imodeli yeendawo ezinokubakho e-Bali, e-Indonesia ngokudibanisa isantya somoya se-MODIS.
Ixesha lokuposa: Jul-14-2023
